Friday, March 31, 2017

Early Predictions 2017

Let's take a tentative look ahead to the coming Oscar year. Needless to say, these early predictions are far from a comprehensive survey of what award movies are coming down the pike in 2017, but some of the conversation is likely to revolve around the titles I'm guessing.

Best Picture
Call Me by Your Name
Darkest Hour
The Glass Castle
The Greatest Showman
The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara
Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Project
Untitled P.T. Anderson Project

Full predictions after the cut.

Best Director
P.T. Anderson - Untitled P.T. Anderson Project
Kathryn Bigelow - Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Project
Luca Guadagnino - Call Me by Your Name
Alexander Payne - Downsizing
Joe Wright - Darkest Hour

Best Actor
Matt Damon - Downsizing
Daniel Day-Lewis - Untitled P.T. Anderson Project
Armie Hammer - Call Me by Your Name
Hugh Jackman - The Greatest Showman
Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour

Best Actress
Jessica Chastain - Molly's Game
Judi Dench - Victoria and Abdul
Brie Larson - The Glass Castle
Jennifer Lawrence - Mother!
Rooney Mara - Mary Magdalene

Best Supporting Actor
Woody Harrelson - The Glass Castle
Ed Harris - Mother!
John Hurt - Darkest Hour
Jason Mitchell - Mudbound
Michael Shannon - The Current War

Best Supporting Actress
Kirsten Dunst - The Beguiled
Julianne Moore - Wonderstruck
Michelle Pfeiffer - Mother!
Naomi Watts - The Glass Castle
Michelle Williams - The Greatest Showman

Best Original Screenplay
Darkest Hour (Anthony McCarten)
Downsizing (Alexander Payne, Jim Taylor)
Suburbicon (George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Joel Coen, Ethan Coen)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Martin McDonagh)
Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Project (Mark Boal)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Annihilation (Alex Garland)
Call Me by Your Name (Luca Guadagnino, James Ivory, Walter Fasano)
The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara (Tony Kushner)
Molly's Game (Aaron Sorkin)
Mudbound (Dee Rees, Virgil Williams)

Best Animated Feature
The Breadwinner (Cartoon Saloon, Nora Twomey, Tomm Moore)
Coco (Pixar, Lee Unkrich)
Ferdinand (Blue Sky, Carlos Saldanha)

Best Cinematography
Blade Runner 2049 (Roger Deakins)
Darkest Hour (Bruno Delbonnel)
The Greatest Showman (Seamus McGarvey)
The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara (Janusz Kaminski)
The Snowman (Dion Beebe)

Best Editing
Call Me by Your Name (Walter Fasano)
The Greatest Showman (Joe Hutshing)
The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara (Michael Kahn)
The Snowman (Claire Simpson)
Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Project (William Goldenberg, Harry Yoon)

Best Production Design
Blade Runner 2049 (Dennis Gassner, Alessandro Querzola)
Darkest Hour (Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer)
The Greatest Showman (Nathan Crowley, ???)
The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara (???, ???)
Untitled P.T. Anderson Project (Mark Tildesley, Veronique Melery)

Best Costume Design
Darkest Hour (Jacqueline Durran)
The Greatest Showman (Ellen Mirojnick)
Untitled P.T. Anderson Project (Mark Bridges)
Victoria and Abdul (Consolata Boyle)
Wonderstruck (Sandy Powell)

Best Original Score
Blade Runner 2049 (Johann Johannsson)
Darkest Hour (Dario Marianelli)
The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara (John Williams)
Untitled P.T. Anderson Project (Johnny Greenwood)
Victoria and Abdul (Alexandre Desplat? -- or so I'm guessing)

Best Original Song
Beauty and the Beast (Alan Menken, Tim Rice)
Despicable Me 3 (Pharrell Williams?)
Coco (???)
The Greatest Showman (Benj Pasek, Justin Paul)
Pitch Perfect 3 (???)

Best Sound Mixing
Dunkirk (Gregg Landaker, Mark Weingarten, ???)
The Greatest Showman (???)
Star Wars VIII: The Last Jedi (David Parker, Michael Semanick, Stuart Wilson)
Transformers: The Last Knight (Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Peter J. Devlin)
Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Project (Paul N.J. Ottosson, Ray Beckett)

Best Sound Editing
Blade Runner 2049 (???)
Dunkirk (Richard King)
Star Wars VIII: The Last Jedi (Matthew Wood)
Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Project (Paul N.J. Ottosson)
War for the Planet of the Apes (Will Files)

Best Visual Effects
Alien: Covenant (???)
Blade Runner 2049 (???)
Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2 (Chris Townsend
Star Wars VIII: The Last Jedi (???)
War for the Planet of the Apes (Joe Letteri

Best Makeup and Hair Styling
Darkest Hour (Ivana Primorac, Kazuhiro Tsuji)
Suspiria (???)
Wonder (Arjen Tuiten)


  1. You are a fool for not predicting Beauty and the Beast in Production Design and Costume Design.

  2. Practically every review so far says Timothee Chalamet is the standout in "Call Me By Your Name". If the Academy will embrace it, it will more likely either be him, both or neither.

    And is "The Kidnapping of Edgardo Montara" gonna be released this year? I hear it was delayed because Oscar Isaac dropped out.

  3. Lack of release date gave me pause, but I decided to take a flier on it anyway.

  4. Also, you're predicting "Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri" for Screenplay but not for Frances McDormand?! The trailer makes me think she's gonna get in if they love the movie enough.

  5. Just saw the trailer for Detroit (Bigelow's movie) Possible dark horse(s) nominations/thoughts: Poulter or Boyega for Supporting Actor?